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Index » Regional/Local » Europe » Ukraine Page: 1, 2, 3 ... 115, 116, 117  Next
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NoEnzLefttoSplit

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Posted: Sep 27, 2024 - 2:23am

this pertinent historical analogy just popped up in my twitter feed:

The British occupation of New York lasted from 1776 to 1783. Back then it was the so-called Tories, pro-British Americans, who said that it would be „impossible to defeat the British armies“, that America does not exist. In fact, despite a string of American victories, such as the Battle of Ticonderoga, British domination of North America was a fact, especially along the coast lines.

Yet, on November 25, 1783, the so-called „impossible“ happened and British troops evacuated New York. The British army was defeated and the USA finally independent, thanks to the brave American people but also thanks to the French support and intervention.

History is full of examples where a presumably weaker opponent defeated a stronger army. What was key in all those struggles was the sheer will of those people yearning for freedom. In this kind of struggle, defeatist voices are never good advisors. Seeing a certain group of Americans now demanding this from Ukrainians can only be described a deeply un-American. Would they sell their homeland to a foreign enemy? It sure looks this way.

If they lived 240 years ago and had their way or France refused to help, America would still have a king. Thankfully, the voice of reason prevailed. It should be a lesson and blueprint for all of us today, on both sides of the pond.

thisbody

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Posted: Sep 18, 2024 - 9:26am

Western public wants conflict to end ASAP, and without sinking billions more into it: 
They are sick and tired of the constant escalation and want to see peace!

...and it's not about being left or right.


sirdroseph

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Posted: Sep 4, 2024 - 5:51am


Beaker

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Posted: Aug 21, 2024 - 12:58pm

Actually ... the third.



R_P

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Posted: Aug 16, 2024 - 12:21pm

Diplomacy Watch: Ukrainian officers tied to Nord Stream blasts
The plot thickens as Germany issues its first arrest warrant in the case
Beaker

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Posted: Aug 12, 2024 - 7:19am

Lots of developments in Ukraine in the last few days.  It looks like Ukraine has found a way out of what many thought was a stalemate - which may not have been a stalemate at all!  Very interesting.  Still developing.

R_P

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Posted: Aug 7, 2024 - 7:36pm

What the Ukraine war has in common with Vietnam
The establishment keeps coming up with convenient answers, but always to the wrong question.
Beaker

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Posted: Aug 4, 2024 - 12:29pm



R_P

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Posted: Aug 3, 2024 - 1:05pm

Biden team blows off deadline for Ukraine war strategy
Perhaps the administration can't admit it doesn't have one.
Almost 100 days have now passed since the Congress passed $61 billion in emergency funding for Ukraine, a measure that included a condition that required the Biden Administration to present to the legislative body a detailed strategy for continued U.S. support.

When the funding bill was passed with much fanfare on April 23, Section 504, page 32 included the following mandate:
“Not later than 45 days after the date of enactment of this Act, the Secretary of State and the Secretary of Defense, in consultation with the heads of other relevant Federal agencies, as appropriate, shall submit to 18 the Committees on Appropriations, Armed Services, and Foreign Relations of the Senate and the Committees on 20 Appropriations, Armed Services, and Foreign Affairs of the House of Representatives a strategy regarding United States support for Ukraine against aggression by the Russian Federation: Provided, That such strategy shall be multi-year, establish specific and achievable objectives, define and prioritize United States national security interests…”
It is now August and There is still no sign on the part of the Biden Administration of any intention to submit such a strategy to Congress. This inevitably leads to the suspicion that no such strategy in fact exists. It also suggests that without a massive change of mindset within the administration, it is not even possible to hold — let alone make public —serious and honest internal discussions on the subject, as these would reveal the flawed and empty assumptions on which much of present policy is based. (...)

Beaker

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Posted: Jul 31, 2024 - 4:30pm

First batch of F-16's are now flying over Ukraine

Over Lviv today:


R_P

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Posted: Jul 31, 2024 - 4:23pm

Ukraine Is Still Too Corrupt to Join the West
The strategy of winning the war by joining Western institutions has one big, homegrown hurdle.



Oh noes
R_P

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Posted: Jul 12, 2024 - 10:48am

Ukraine at a Crossroads: End the War or Risk Defeat
Ukraine has a very narrow window to turn the momentum of the war in its favor. Even then, the Russians are still holding most of the cards.
In May 2022, just three months into the Russia-Ukraine War, I wrote a three-part series in which I identified the military strategy that would give Ukraine the best chance of seeking out some sort of tactical success over Russia. It wouldn’t have guaranteed success, I warned, but it was a viable path. As it turned out, Ukraine did virtually none of what I recommended while—ironically—Russia successfully employed several key elements of the path I laid out.

Now, as we approach the two-and-a-half-year mark of the war, and Ukraine is being pushed back on all fronts, I am going to reprise my effort and lay out a realistic but tough path by which Ukraine might yet steal some military success from Russia.

I will warn from the outset that there is no path, however well-resourced, by which Ukraine can inflict an outright military defeat on Russia in the foreseeable future. Russia is too big, too well-resourced, and too well-manned for Ukraine to beat. Yet, if handled deftly, sometimes even tactical defeats by a weaker opponent can be leveraged into strategic success. The following plan represents such an opportunity. (...)

NATO only wants to seek a victory for Ukraine and a loss for Russia. However, sober analysis shows that this is an unattainable outcome either now or in the future. If the West refuses to submit to reality, the most likely outcome for Ukraine is a military defeat that could include even the eventual loss of Odesa and Kharkiv and more territory than even Putin’s June 2024 ultimatum.
The primrose path of maximalist megalomania.
thisbody

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Posted: Jul 9, 2024 - 9:53am

Ukrainian F-16 Saga Continues ~  Black Mountain Analysis (Li). Weapons porn!
thisbody

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Posted: Jul 9, 2024 - 9:51am

Hungary’s Orban unexpectedly visits China, backs Xi’s peace plan ~ Reuters
NoEnzLefttoSplit

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Posted: Jul 3, 2024 - 12:38pm

 R_P wrote:

I might be wrong, but I think Germany is already in NAFO. An incoherent red herring.


band name. 


R_P

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Posted: Jul 3, 2024 - 12:29pm

 NoEnzLefttoSplit wrote:
splutter.  they should start with Germany and the SPD/AfD/BSW ties to Russia.  They'd find a lot more corruption there.

I might be wrong, but I think Germany is already in NAFO. An incoherent red herring.

NoEnzLefttoSplit

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Posted: Jul 3, 2024 - 12:23pm

 R_P wrote:
Ukraine to be told it is too corrupt to join Nato
Membership talks cannot progress until the former Soviet state cleans up, a major blow to Volodymyr Zelensky


splutter.  they should start with Germany and the SPD/AfD/BSW ties to Russia.  They'd find a lot more corruption there.
R_P

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Posted: Jul 3, 2024 - 11:57am

Ukraine to be told it is too corrupt to join Nato
Membership talks cannot progress until the former Soviet state cleans up, a major blow to Volodymyr Zelensky
NoEnzLefttoSplit

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Posted: Jun 26, 2024 - 5:11am


R_P

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Posted: Jun 25, 2024 - 12:21pm

New Polling Shows Significant Ukrainian Support for Diplomacy to End the War
There is more dissent from the Zelensky government’s war aims than may appear.
The narrative of totally unified Ukrainian opinion is premised on polls from the earliest days of the war showing nearly unanimous Ukrainian support for the government and its handling of the war effort. This seeming consensus has steadily eroded since the peak of Ukraine’s battlefield successes in 2022, when 70 percent of survey respondents affirmed that Ukraine “should continue fighting until it wins the war.” That number dropped to 60 percent in the summer of 2023, according to Gallup. Polling since the failure of Ukraine’s 2023 offensive shows that 44 percent of Ukrainians favor entering into talks with Russia and only 48 percent—still a plurality but, notably, no longer a majority—believe Ukraine should fight on. Other recent polling shows that even in Kyiv, where Ukraine’s elite and bureaucracy is concentrated and political investment in the war effort is at its highest, complete confidence in Ukrainian victory is weakening.

Tellingly, recent surveys—including a new poll from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace— suggest that the share of Ukrainians open to a negotiated settlement has dramatically risen over the past year and, if present trends hold, is well on the way to becoming a majority-held view.

These findings are reinforced by a decline in Zelensky’s approval rating and loss of public trust in the national TV Marathon, a platform of media channels that report on the war from a pro-government stance. Ukrainian bloggers with much more critical perspectives on Kyiv’s handling of the war are amassing large audiences on social media.

Another key metric of public investment in the nation’s war effort is support for mobilization. A plurality of Ukrainian men said in a February poll that they are not prepared to fight. One Ukrainian soldier told the BBC late last year, “It’s a total nightmare. A year ago, I wouldn’t have said that, but now, sorry, I’m fed up. Everyone who wanted to volunteer for war came a long time ago—it’s too hard now to tempt people with money. Now we’re getting those who didn’t manage to escape the draft. You’ll laugh at this, but some of our marines can’t even swim.”

Kyiv took the drastic step earlier this year of suspending consular services for men aged between 18 and 60 to contend with military recruitment problems. A staggering 11,000 Ukrainian men have opted out of participating in the war by illegally crossing into Romania, one of seven countries bordering Ukraine.

A closer look at the views of those who are not being captured by these polls suggests a likelihood that there is far more dissent from the Zelensky government’s maximalist war aims than it may appear. (...)

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